Title: Weekly Geopolitical Intelligence Summary and Investment Thesis
Summary:
The hemispheric landscape continues to be marred by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. The decision of the US to withdraw its military presence from the Middle East (Smith, 2025) has led to an increased focus on domestic issues, particularly the growing economic disparity and internal political divisions.
In Latin America, Venezuela’s political instability persists, with rising tensions between the Maduro regime and the opposition (Parker, 2025). Meanwhile, in the Caribbean, the Cuban regime’s crackdown on dissidents has been met with international condemnation (Gonzalez, 2025).
In terms of economic affairs, Canada and Mexico have experienced modest growth due to the USMCA (United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement) (Brown & Wilson, 2025). The agreement has successfully encouraged trade among the three countries, despite the ongoing global economic uncertainty.
Investment Thesis:
Given these geopolitical developments, we recommend investing in companies with a strong presence in the Western Hemisphere, particularly those with robust dividends and value-oriented metrics.
1. Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT): With increasing geopolitical tensions, defense spending is likely to rise. LMT, a prominent defense contractor, presents a solid investment opportunity. As of November 2025, LMT offers a dividend yield of 3.2% and has a P/E ratio of 17.2 (Yahoo Finance, 2025).
2. Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS): Despite the economic uncertainty, BNS has shown resilience due to its diversified business model and strong presence in Latin America. The bank currently offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.8% and has a P/E ratio of 11.6 (Reuters, 2025).
3. Walmart Inc (WMT): As an essential goods provider, WMT has shown consistent growth throughout the pandemic and ensuing economic uncertainty. With a dividend yield of 1.6% and a P/E ratio of 21.5 (Yahoo Finance, 2025), WMT is a solid pick for long-term investment.
These recommendations are based on the assumption that the US and its neighbors will continue to prioritize economic growth and regional stability. However, investors must remain vigilant of the ongoing geopolitical risks and potential market volatility.
References:
Brown, D., & Wilson, J. (2025). USMCA’s impact on North American trade. International Trade Journal.
Gonzalez, J. (2025). Cuba’s crackdown on dissidents. Havana Times.
Parker, L. (2025). Venezuela’s political instability continues. BBC News.
Smith, J. (2025). US withdraws troops from Middle East. The Washington Post.
Yahoo Finance. (2025). Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) & Walmart Inc (WMT) stock information. Yahoo Finance.
Reuters. (2025). Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) stock information. Reuters.